7 avril 2020 | Local, Aérospatial

COVID-19 and aviation: Survival, recovery, and innovation

Posted on April 7, 2020 by Dr. Suzanne Kearns

This article originally appeared in The Hill Times and is published here with the permission of the author.

The COVID-19 pandemic has challenged Canadians to adapt their way of life. Aviation professionals are playing a vital role in preserving societal functioning, with airlines volunteering to repatriate Canadians abroad, crew members risking exposure to reunite travellers with their families, and cargo operations playing a vital role in the supply chain – distributing essential medical supplies.

These critical activities are only possible because of the work of the entire aviation sector that includes maintenance engineers, air traffic controllers, airport professionals, and so many others.

In 2019 airlines carried 4.3 billion passengers, 58 million tonnes of freight, and supported 65.5 million jobs around the world (3.6 per cent of the world's gross domestic product according to the Aviation Benefits Report). The tourism sector is interconnected with aviation, supporting a further 37 million tourism-related jobs.

The COVID-19 pandemic is testing the aviation industry in ways that were unfathomable at the beginning of this year. International aviation had been on a growth trajectory, with traffic projected to double in the coming 15 years. As 2020 began, some of the most pressing industry challenges were how to meet the demand for aviation professionals and achieve emission-reduction targets towards environmental sustainability.

Aviation has always been a cyclical industry directly and rapidly impacted by downturns in the economy. The industry reported losses in the early 1990s due to the recession and again in 2001 after the 9/11 attacks; in 2003 following the SARS epidemic, and in 2008 linked to the financial crisis. Each of these downturns was followed by a period of economic recovery.

Looking specifically at SARS, airlines lost $6 billion in revenues with the outbreak's economic impact having a V-shape where the rapid decline was matched by a speedy economic recovery.

Despite the airline industry's cyclical nature it has maintained profitability for the past 10 years, with a profit of $25.9 billion in 2019 despite recent tragedies and challenges, according to IATA. For example, the sector faced the 737 Max accidents in 2018 and 2019, the Ukraine Airlines Flight 752 shot down in Iran, and the emergence of “flygskam” flight shaming air travel due to its emissions. Each of these events impacts passenger confidence in aviation, and many industry experts were bracing for an economic decline as a result.

The industry maintaining profitability over the last decade is a testament to its strength and resilience.

The COVID-19 pandemic is testing the aviation sector in new ways. The entire industry is being stretched to a breaking point, without interventions, it can not survive the crisis.

Assuming travel restrictions are lifted after three months, 2020's passenger demand will be 38 per cent less than 2019, resulting in an impact of USD$ 252 billion according to IATA. Airports are projected to lose $46 billion in 2020, said Airport Council International (ACI). Although previous pandemics were followed by a sharp recovery, they did not cause recessions as COVID-19 might.

This has led to three critical questions about the future of international aviation.

  1. When will the impacts of COVID-19 subside – and what will society look like when it does?
  2. How long will it take for people to have the funds and confidence to begin flying again?
  3. What specifically can be done to ensure the industry survives the crisis? How can we innovate during the downturn to craft a stronger future?

The most pressing need for aviation is essential financial support through the pandemic, and in the coming months as society faces future waves of the virus. Beyond support to operators, it is critical to recognize that this situation also creates an opportunity to reflect upon and innovate practices within the industry.

We will overcome this challenge, and hopefully build a better future. Key priorities during this time should explore how to mobilize Canada's innovation and research infrastructure towards aviation challenges. We have leading researchers in sustainability, cognitive science and engineering, material science, machine learning, automation, cybersecurity, and artificial intelligence among other areas. We are in a position to apply Canadian expertise towards aviation innovations, as important elements of our economic recovery strategy.

What is certain is that COVID-19 will change the world – what is unknown is how we can learn from this to create a stronger and more resilient future together.

Historical global airline profits and losses (from 'Fundamentals of International Aviation' by Suzanne Kearns).

https://www.skiesmag.com/news/covid-19-and-aviation-survival-recovery-and-innovation

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  • From buckets to BATTs — the SEI story

    29 août 2019 | Local, Aérospatial, Sécurité

    From buckets to BATTs — the SEI story

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The latest version is the new i-MAX, currently in testing and scheduled to be commercially available later next year. “This is a Bambi that incorporates a load cell in the control head of the bucket where it hooks to the helicopter,” explained Fukamati. “It integrates with a touch screen control in the cabin, where a pilot can punch in a specific load, and the bucket adjusts.” Like other MAX buckets, this smart Bambi can be programmed to drop varying amounts of water over several drops. Bambi Buckets can also be equipped with a snorkel system to suck water out of an available source with a depth as little as 18 inches. This kind of product evolution is at the heart of SEI's mission – after all, the company's name stands for “Science, Engineering and Innovation.” The company has a team of 87 people working in its Delta, B.C., facility. “We have a very high engineering to salesperson ratio. There's one engineer for every salesperson, which is very unique,” said Paul Reichard, director of SEI's remote site division. “That gives us a lot of engineering bench strength. When customers come to us with a problem, we can do it from beginning to end and we can do it quickly.” SEI's focus on engineering expertise and nimble innovation has led the company to develop a wide range of products. Leveraging its knowledge of fabric materials and welding technologies, SEI has been manufacturing fuel bladders since the mid-1990s. With more than 45 unique products spanning a variety of climatic conditions and bladder capacities, SEI's remote site products are in service with more than 50 military forces and commercial companies worldwide. The crossover between military requirements and commercial opportunities has created an interesting path for SEI's product development. According to Reichard, the need to position water close to a forest fire for Bambi Bucket operations led to the “dip tank” – think of a flexible, portable above-ground swimming pool. The Canadian military saw the product and asked if it could be used as a drinking water supply for remote locations. So SEI reworked the dip tank, put a cover on it, and the “onion tank” was born. To move the fluids in and out of bladders and tanks, SEI created a range of pumping systems. Most recently, the company developed a containerized system for Japan's military that will be pre-positioned for quick emergency response. Then one day, a call came in from the Columbian military, a customer using SEI's bladder and pumping systems. 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To prevent the fuel from sloshing around in flight, the tank has a system of baffles – one version for airplane BATTs and one for helicopters, reflecting the differing in-flight dynamics. The outer tank is also fuel resistant, and the flexible material has the strength to handle the stresses of transport, as well as being abrasion and puncture resistant. The two tanks are connected at the ends with flanges and internal side straps, and the external tank has an integrated harness system to secure the BATT inside the aircraft. Working with its suppliers, SEI specifies the properties of the materials it uses to make its products. After cutting the components, radio-frequency fabric welding creates a joint that's equal in tensile strength to the base level's properties. It's so strong, it's as if there isn't a weld. The first BATT was delivered to the Columbian military in 2009. By 2012, the tanks were being sold to commercial operators in Canada. 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  • Trump administration claims Ottawa's jet procurement plan is unfair to F-35, says report

    7 mai 2019 | Local, Aérospatial

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    Murray Brewster · CBC News The Trump administration fired two warning shots last year over the Liberal government's long-delayed plan to replace Canada's CF-18 fighters, saying the procurement process discriminates against the Lockheed-Martin-built F-35 stealth jet, according to a new academic report. The study by a researcher at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute (MLI) cites leaked Pentagon letters written last summer and late fall to officials at Public Services and Procurement Canada. The report, released Monday, largely blames the Liberal government for the delays in the procurement, while making only a passing reference to the inability of the former Conservative government to deliver on the same program. The report's major revelation involves the leaked letters — which are expected to inflame the debate over the nearly decade-long on-again, off-again plan to replace the air force's 1980s-vintage CF-18s with modern warplanes. 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