August 13, 2019 |
International,
Aerospace
By Michael Bruno
As a multi-industrial manufacturer, Textron sells many transportation vehicles, from military helicopters to UAVs and even snowmobiles and recreational four-wheelers.
But a new corporate review may indicate the conglomerate could be looking to become an aerospace and defense (A&D)-focused company similar to other large rivals, according to analysts.
Earlier this month, Textron announced it is reviewing strategic alternatives such as a sale or spin-off of its German Kautex business unit, which produces fuel systems and other functional components. Kautex operates more than 30 plants in 14 countries and generated more than $2.3 billion in revenue in 2018.
“Kautex strategic review suggests Textron wants to become an A&D ‘pure-play,'” Cowen analysts Cai von Rumohr and his team said Aug. 9. “The thesis is that ‘new Textron' could command a higher [valuation] multiple closer to A&D pure-plays; and it would have optionality for merger and acquisition (M&A) or stock repurchasing to leverage its new product-driven growth.”
The Cowen analysts said they think that if Kautex is disposed of, so could golf cart maker Textron Specialized Vehicles or other units in Textron's Industrial division. In turn, the company could use proceeds and money saved to bolt on smaller A&D businesses, or it could continue active share repurchases to lever benefits of expected growth from new products such as Longitude, Sky Courier, Denali and V-280.
“A third possibility is that free of Industrial, Textron could be of interest to larger primes, who would bring more lobbying clout to V-280,” the analysts said. Buying candidates could be Boeing or General Dynamics, they added.
Separately, a well-known adviser to the A&D industry recently told Aerospace DAILY that Textron would make a good acquisition target for other A&D players. “Over the years I've had my clients take a hard look at that one,” the consultant said. This person listed Boeing and Lockheed for possible top-level consolidation, although getting Pentagon and Trump administration approval could be more of a challenge than for other recent M&A deals.
To be sure, Textron is already an aerospace-focused multi-industrial. According to Cowen, it is the leader in Class 1-5 business jets (which make up 24% of annual total revenue), with positions in helicopters via Bell (26%), defense systems (12%), and then industrial products (25%). Defense as an end-market accounts for 29%.
But conglomerates are increasingly breaking up and those with A&D elements continue to focus on those businesses. United Technologies is working to spin off its elevators and air conditioning businesses while adding Raytheon. General Electric is divesting major units but favoring aviation. Honeywell International in recent years has spun off units to focus more on A&D and related businesses. One reason for the portfolio shaping is because of pressure from major investors who want companies to be more focused, in part so they can balance their own investment portfolios rather than relying on a company to try to play in various industries.
Goldman Sachs is advising Textron on its review. Textron reiterated that no decision has been made and there are no assurances that the process will result in any transaction being announced or completed.
The company has not set a definitive timetable for completion of its review of strategic alternatives and does not intend to make any further announcements related to its review unless and until its board of directors has approved a specific transaction or Textron otherwise determines that further disclosure is appropriate.
https://aviationweek.com/business-aviation/could-textron-become-purer-ad-company-or-be-sold
